West Bengal Elections Exit Poll 2026

West Bengal Elections Exit Poll 2026, TMC vs BJP Seat Prediction, Full Survey Report

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Last Updated on April 30, 2026 by Babusona Mondal

The battle for the 294 seats of the West Bengal Elections Exit Poll 2026 has entered its final phase. Voting has been completed. Now, the focus shifts to the results. Voters across the state are eagerly waiting to know which party will form the next government.

The main contest is between the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC+) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Both parties have fought a strong campaign. The big question remains — will TMC retain power, or will BJP cross the majority mark?

As the state waits for the final results, several top polling agencies have released their Exit Poll predictions for 2026. These include Matrize, P-MARQ, Peoples Pulse, and Chanakya Strategies. Each survey gives an early indication of the possible outcome.

The majority mark in the 294-member assembly is 147 seats. Based on these projections, it becomes easier to understand which party is leading the race. In this article, we provide a clear comparison of all major exit polls in one place.

Stay with us to explore seat predictions, trends, and expert analysis from the most trusted polling agencies.

West Bengal Elections Exit Poll 2026

Exit Poll Agency Data – Live Updates

Halfway Mark: 147
Poll of Exit Polls
TMC+
147
BJP
137
CONG
2
LEFT
2
👥 OTH
6
JVC
TMC+
131-152
BJP
138-159
CONG
0-2
LEFT
0
OTH
0
P-MARQ
147 – Halfway Mark
TMC+
118-138
BJP
150-175
CONG
0
LEFT
0
👥 OTH
2-6
Matrize
147 – Halfway Mark
TMC+
125-140
BJP
146-161
CONG
0
LEFT
0
👥 OTH
6-10
Peoples Pulse
147 – Halfway Mark
TMC+
177-187
BJP
95-110
CONG
1-3
LEFT
0-1
👥 OTH
0
Matrize
147 – Halfway Mark
TMC+
125-140
BJP
146-161
CONG
0
LEFT
0
👥 OTH
6-10
Peoples Pulse
147 – Halfway Mark
TMC+
177-187
BJP
95-110
CONG
1-3
LEFT
0-1
👥 OTH
0
Chanakya Strategies
147 – Halfway Mark
TMC+
130-140
BJP
150-160
CONG
0
LEFT
0
👥 OTH
6-10
Poll Diary
147 – Halfway Mark
TMC+
99-127
BJP
142-171
CONG
3-5
LEFT
2-3
👥 OTH
0-1
Janmat Polls
147 – Halfway Mark
TMC+
195-205
BJP
80-90
CONG
1-3
LEFT
0-1
👥 OTH
3-5

West Bengal Election Opinion Poll 2021

Majority Mark: 148 | Total Seats: 294

ACTUAL RESULT (2021 FINAL)
TMC (Winner)213
BJP77
OTHERS / CPM+4
POLL OF POLLS (2021)
TMC141
BJP138
CPM+13
TIMES NOW-CVOTER (2021)
TMC158
BJP115
CPM+19
INDIA TODAY – AXIS MY INDIA (2021)
BJP147
TMC143
CPM+2
REPUBLIC-CNX (2021)
BJP143
TMC133
CPM+16
JAN KI BAAT (2021)
BJP174
TMC112
CPM+6
INDIA TV (2021)
BJP192
TMC88
CPM+12
ETG RESEARCH (2021)
TMC169
BJP110
CPM+13
Note: West Bengal has 294 constituencies. Official 2026 exit polls will be live after 6:30 PM on April 29, 2026. This data includes 2021 historical context for reference.

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