Tamil Nadu Elections Exit Poll 2026, DMK vs AIADMK vs TVK Seat Prediction & Survey Report

Last Updated on April 30, 2026 by Babusona Mondal

The battle for the 234-seat Tamil Nadu Elections Exit Poll 2026 has reached a historic turning point. As the state concludes its voting process, all eyes are on the Exit Poll predictions to see which alliance will secure the keys to Fort St. George. This election is particularly significant as it features a high-stakes contest between the DMK-led alliance, the AIADMK+, and the highly anticipated entry of Vijay’s TVK.

Our comprehensive dashboard provides a real-time look at consolidated data from top polling agencies, including Axis My India, P-MARQ, Matrize, and Peoples Pulse. With the magic majority number set at 118, these projections offer an early look at whether the incumbent government will retain power or if a new political wave is sweeping the state.

Tamil Nadu Elections Exit Poll 2026

Exit Polls & Seat Projections

Poll of Exit Polls
117 – Halfway Mark
DMK+
130
AIADMK+
65
TVK
31
👥 OTH
8
Axis My India
117 – Halfway Mark
DMK+
92-110
AIADMK+
22-32
TVK
98-120
P-MARQ
117 – Halfway Mark
DMK+
125-145
AIADMK+
65-80
TVK
16-25
Matrize
117 – Halfway Mark
DMK+
122-132
AIADMK+
87-110
TVK
10-12
👥 OTH
0-6
Peoples Pulse
117 – Halfway Mark
DMK+
125-145
AIADMK+
65-80
TVK
18-24
👥 OTH
2-6
Chanakya Strategies
117 – Halfway Mark
DMK+
145-160
AIADMK+
50-65
TVK
0
👥 OTH
18-26

Tamil Nadu Election Opinion Poll 2021

Majority Mark: 118 | Total Seats: 234

ACTUAL RESULT (2021 FINAL)
DMK+ (Winner)159
AIADMK+75
POLL OF POLLS (2021)
DMK+174
AIADMK+56
AMMK+2
MNM1
TIMES NOW-CVOTER (2021)
DMK+166
AIADMK+64
AMMK+1
MNM1
OTHERS2
INDIA TODAY – AXIS MY INDIA (2021)
DMK+185
AIADMK+46
AMMK+2
MNM1
REPUBLIC-CNX (2021)
DMK+165
AIADMK+63
AMMK+5
OTHERS1
P-MARQ (2021)
DMK+177
AIADMK+52
AMMK+2
MNM2
OTHERS1
ABP-CVOTER (2021)
DMK+166
AIADMK+64
AMMK+0
MNM0
OTHERS4
TODAY’S CHANAKYA (2021)
DMK+175
AIADMK+57
OTHERS2
Disclaimer: The Tamil Nadu Assembly Election 2026 exit poll data will be updated live after 6:30 PM on April 29, 2026. Current cards show 2021 predictions and actual results for reference.

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